Election Predictions

With Obama taking a ‘break’ from campaigning and McCain wishing Sarah Palin would, this seems like the perfect break in the pre-election festivities to use our in-depth knowledge of the Electoral College to make our predictions. Analyse the polls (that polls! Fred), watch the debates or simply guess a number and post below how many Electoral College votes you belief the President elect will receive. Here is a tip, make sure the number is greater than 270 and please explain how you came to this decision. There will be a prize for the student who gets closest to the final result! Make sure all comments are posted by 2359 on 31/10/08.

This blog has a great reputation for sourcing reliable and accurate political predictions.

http://politicalbetting.com/

Obama has it in the bag?

In this map compiled on an average of all the major American polls Obama has 264 electoral college votes while McCain has 163 (remember the magic number is 270), there are still 111 votes up for grabs in toss up states where neither candidate has a lead greater than 5% in current polls (see this link for info on which way these states are polling at the moment).

Do you think Obama is on course for an easy win or do you see some way the electoral college system could turn in favor of McCain?